Polling Challenges in the Trump Era: Reflections on the 2024 Elections
As analysts review the polling outcomes of the 2024 elections, a consensus emerges highlighting the flawed methodologies and inherent biases within polling practices. Many pollsters admit to miscalculating the significant support for Donald Trump, failing to adequately account for independent voters and the shifting political landscape. Despite some improvements in polling accuracy, experts like Tom Jensen reflect on the familiar difficulties faced in assessing the polarized race, particularly between Trump and Kamala Harris. Outside the US, many observers were not predicting a Trump victory, pointing to a disconnect between domestic polling approaches and international expectations. The overarching sentiment reveals a need for reevaluation of how polls are conducted and interpreted in such a complex political climate.
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