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News in English (USA) / 08.07.2026 / 16:00

IMF Lowers Global Growth Forecast Amid Iran War but Expects Rebound Thanks to AI

The global economy is experiencing significant challenges due to the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising inflation, leading the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to revise its global growth forecast down to 3% for this year. Despite these setbacks, the IMF highlights that advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) are providing a rare positive influence, potentially cushioning the economic impact of the Iran war. Furthermore, although the IMF has dropped its recession warning following a June ceasefire, it warns that the renewed conflict in the Middle East may still create volatility in the global economy. Projections for 2026 growth have also been cut, with expectations for a slight recovery to 3.4% in 2027 as the economy adapts to these pressures.
The New York Times, Reuters, WSJ, Bloomberg.com, MarketWatch, politico.eu, U.S. News & World Report, The Washington Post, The Indian Express, The Times