A major geopolitical dispute has erupted as former President Trump threatens to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil, citing the prosecution of ex-President Jair Bolsonaro as the reason behind this aggressive trade move. This decision, which has already rattled the coffee market and could significantly raise prices in the US, prompted a fierce response from Brazil’s current president, Lula da Silva. Lula has vowed to retaliate with reciprocal tariffs on US goods, stating that Brazil can survive without US trade and will not accept any external tutelage. Analysts note that Trump’s actions could deepen Brazil’s ties with China and disrupt longstanding trade relationships. The tariff threat is seen as part of Trump’s broader strategy to rally his domestic base by claiming victory in foreign disputes, while economists warn that the recent tariff increases set a troubling precedent, especially considering the US holds a trade surplus with Brazil. As tensions escalate, both nations appear poised for a protracted trade battle, impacting various sectors including agriculture and technology.