A series of assessments from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) indicate that Russia is unlikely to achieve a swift victory in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Despite promises from top Russian military officials for a rapid win, analysts suggest that the situation remains stagnant, with no clear signs of major territorial gains. The current operational capabilities of the Russian army are degraded due to manpower shortages and equipment strains, limiting the possibility of effective multi-pronged offensives. Furthermore, expectations for complete control over Donetsk are pushed back to at least 2027-2028. Reports continue to highlight the discrepancy between official Russian statements and the realities on the ground, suggesting ongoing information manipulation by the Kremlin.